UK Finance Minister Rishi Sunak Cleared Of Ethics Breach

Rishi Sunak as British Prime Minister?Look at the weather forecast

Foreword

After hits and mistakes in both US and UK elections, public confidence in the accuracy of polls has been rigorously tested. This was surprisingly apparent after the poll-popular Hillary Clinton was beaten by Donald Trump after the 2016 US presidential election.

As skepticism about polls grows, many commentators believe that it may be worth paying attention to bookmaker betting odds in addition to polls. This will be more appropriate in times of political change.

Can betting odds make credible political predictions?

Inevitably, their predictions are that bookmakers incorporate multiple sources, including polls. These graphs (1a and 1b) show that both bookmakers and pollsters correctly predict that Joe Biden will win the 2020 US presidential election.